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UNDERSTANDING RISKS
 
RISKS IN MUTUAL FUND INVESTING LOW-LEVEL RISKS
MODERATE-LEVEL RISKS HIGH-LEVEL RISKS
MEASURING RISK  

Risks in Mutual Fund Investing

There is some degree of risk in every investment. Although it is reduced considerably in mutual fund investing. Do not let the specter of risk stop you from becoming a mutual fund investor. However, it be-hooves all investors to determine for themselves the degree of risk they are willing to accept in order to meet their objectives before making a purchase. Knowing of potential risks in advance will help you avoid situations in which you would not be comfortable. Understanding the risk levels of the various types o mutual funds at the outset will help you avoid the stress that might result from a thoughtless or a hasty purchase.

Let us now examine the risk levels of the various types of mutual funds.

  • Low Level Risks
  • Moderate level Risks
  • High Level Risks
  • Measuring Risks
 
 
LOW-LEVEL RISKS

Mutual funds characterized as low-level risks fall into here categories
  1. Money market funds
  2. Treasury bill funds
  3. Insured bond funds
 
 
MODERATE-LEVEL RISKS

Mutual funds considered moderate-risk investments may be found in at least the eight types categorized below.

  1. Income funds
  2. Balanced funds
  3. Growth and income funds
  4. Growth funds
  5. Short-term bond funds (taxable and tax-free)
  6. Intermediate bond funds (taxable and tax-free)
  7. Insured government/municipal bond funds
  8. Index funds.
 
 
HIGH-LEVEL RISKS

The types of funds listed below have the potential for high gain, but all have high risk levels as well.

  1. Aggressive growth funds
  2. International funds
  3. Sector funds
  4. Specialized funds
  5. Precious metals funds
  6. high-yield bond funds (taxable and tax-free)
  7. Commodity funds
  8. Option funds

Figure below depicts three types of mutual fund portfolios structured according to risk level. You may wish to use this as a guide to building a portfolio based on your level of risk tolerance. The percentages of each type of fund recommended in the portfolios reflect a reasonable degree of diversification, balance, and risk level as indicated.

 
 
FIGURE 1

 
Portfolio Allocations Based on Risk Levels  
   
LOW-LEVEL RISK
CONSERVATIVE PORTFOLIO

50% Gov’t. Treasury Bill Funds
50% Money Market Funds

   
MODERATE-LEVEL RISK
CAUTIOUSLY AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO


40% Growth & Income Funds
30% Gov’t. Bond Funds
20% Growth Funds
10% Index Funds

   
HIGH-LEVEL RISK
AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO


25% Aggressive Growth Funds
25% International Funds
25% Sector Funds
15% High Yield Bond Funds

   
 
MEASURING RISK

As you become a more experienced investor, you may want to examine other, more technical, measures to determine risk factors in your choice of funds.

Beta coefficient is a measure of the fund’s risk relative to the overall market. For example, a fund with a beta coefficient of 2.0 means that it is likely to move twice as fast as the general market – both up and down. High beta coefficients and high risk go hand in hand.

Alpha coefficient is a comparison of a fund’s risk (beta) to its performance. A positive alpha is good. For example, an alpha of 10.5 means that the fund manager earned an average of 10.5% more each year than might be expected, given the fund’s beta.

Interest rates and inflation rates are other factors that can be used to measure investment risks. For instance, when interest rates are going up, bond funds will usually be declining, and vice versa. The rate of inflation has a decided effect on funds that are sensitive to inflation factors; for example, funds that have large holdings in automaker stocks, real estate securities, and the like will be adversely affected by inflationary cycles.

R-Square factor is a measure of the fund’s risk as related to its degree of diversification.

The information is supplied here merely to acquaint you with the terminology in the event you should wish to delve more deeply into complex risk factors. The more common risk factors previously described are all you really need to know for now, and perhaps for years to come.

One caveat is in order, however. There is no such thing as an absolutely 100% risk-free investment. Even funds with excellent 10 year past performance records must include in their literature and prospectuses the following disclaimer: “Past performance is no guarantee of future results.” However, by not exceeding your risk tolerance level, you can achieve a wide safety and comfort zone with mutual fund portfolios such as those shown in Figure above.

 

 

 

AT A GLANCE
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